跨越“中等收入陷阱”的技术进步机制研究

黄先海

<p><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 宋体; color: black; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font face="宋体">跨越&ldquo;中等收入陷阱&rdquo;的技术进步机制研究：<span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 宋体; font-variant: normal; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; font-weight: normal; color: rgb(0,0,0); font-style: normal; text-align: justify; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">技术进步不仅是推动发展中国家经济增长的根本动力<span lang="EN-US">,</span>而且是跨越潜在&ldquo;中等收入陷阱&rdquo;的基本路径。从技术维度将世界各国划分为远离前沿、国际准前沿和国际前沿三类经济体<span lang="EN-US">,</span>并通过构建纳入技术差距的熊彼特主义内生增长模型<span lang="EN-US">,</span>刻画非前沿经济体的技术进步路径及其动力转换的一般机理<span lang="EN-US">,</span>并基于<span lang="EN-US">115</span>个国家的长时序面板数据进行实证发现<span lang="EN-US">:</span>对于远离前沿的经济体<span lang="EN-US">,</span>基于技术差距的追赶导向型技术进步可推动快速技术进步<span lang="EN-US">,</span>扩大竞争可能将导致低水平竞争困境<span lang="EN-US">;</span>对于国际准前沿经济体<span lang="EN-US">,</span>追赶导向型技术进步将面临潜在</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 宋体; font-variant: normal; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; font-weight: normal; color: rgb(0,0,0); font-style: normal; text-align: justify; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&ldquo;</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 宋体; font-variant: normal; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; font-weight: normal; color: rgb(0,0,0); font-style: normal; text-align: justify; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">技术追赶陷阱&rdquo;<span lang="EN-US">,</span>竞争导向型技术进步可规避&ldquo;技术追赶陷阱&rdquo;<span lang="EN-US">,</span>并加快向国际前沿收敛。政府应在技术进步动力转换、规避&ldquo;技术追赶陷阱&rdquo;<span lang="EN-US">,</span>进而推动经济持续中高速增长中发挥重要作用。</span></font></span></p>

2018-05-03(Thursday)16:40-18:10

经济楼D座235

中文

经济学院、王亚南经济研究院

国际经济与贸易系

独立讲座

彭水军

<p><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">黄先海，浙江大学经济学院院长、教授、博士生导师，教育部</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&ldquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">长江学者特聘教授</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&rdquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">，国家</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&ldquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"></span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&rdquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">哲学社会科学领军人才，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&ldquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">百千万人才</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&rdquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">国家级人选，国家级</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&ldquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">有突出贡献中青年专家</span><span lang="EN-US" style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">&rdquo;</span><span style="white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px; text-transform: none; float: none; color: rgb(0,0,0); text-align: justify; font: 16px/16px 宋体; display: inline !important; letter-spacing: normal; background-color: rgb(255,255,255); text-indent: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px">，中国世界经济学会副会长，中国美国经济学会副会长。</span></p>

国际经贸名人论坛182讲