预测Fenfluramine Dravet综合症第三期临床试验的成功概率

主讲人

Min Tang

简介

<p><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:&#10;minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">新</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">药</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">研</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">发</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">是一个耗</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">时长耗资巨大的过程。</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">有数据</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">统计</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">平均需要花</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">费</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">数十</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">亿</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">美元</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">资</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">金,用</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;Cambria&quot;,serif;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA"> 10</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">多年的</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">时间</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">才能将一个新</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">药</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">从</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">试验</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">室走入市</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">场</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">。在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;Cambria&quot;,serif;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:&#10;&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">5000</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">个</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">临</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">床前化合物中大</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">约</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">只有</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;Cambria&quot;,serif;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">5</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">个化合物可以</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">进</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">入</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">临</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">床</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">试验</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">,而</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">这</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;Cambria&quot;,serif;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:&#10;&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">5</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">个化合物中只有一个才能被批准用于</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">临</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">床治</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">疗</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">病人,成</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">为</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">真正的</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">药</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">物。正因如此,新</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">药</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">的批准,或者</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">说</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">第三期</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">临</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">床</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">试验的结果对</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">小型生物医</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">药</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">公司的市</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">值及股价</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">影响巨大。在</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">此,我们以<span lang="EN-US">Zogenix</span>制药公司的<span lang="EN-US">Fenfluramine</span>药物为例,通过分析已经发表的历史数据以及大型的统计模拟,</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&#10;&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">来</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:&#10;EN-US;mso-fareast-language:ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">预测</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;Cambria&quot;,serif;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">Fenfluramine</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">治</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">疗婴</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">儿</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">严</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">重肌</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">阵挛</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:&#10;minor-latin;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">性</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:宋体;mso-bidi-font-family:宋体;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:&#10;ZH-CN;mso-bidi-language:AR-SA">癫痫的第三期临床试验的成功概率<span lang="EN-US">,</span>从而预测<span lang="EN-US">Zogenix</span>公司的股价。</span></p>

时间

2017-09-29(Friday)16:40-18:00

地点

N303, Econ Building

讲座语言

中文

主办单位

SOE&WISE

承办单位

统计系

类型

独立讲座

联系人信息

主持人

Wei Zhong

专题网站

专题

主讲人简介

<p>CEO and Founder, STATBEYOND CONSULTING LLC&nbsp;</p> <div>Adjunct Professor, University of California, Irvine</div> <div>CV:&nbsp;<a href="/Upload/File/2017/9/20170915090102846.pdf">Upload/File/2017/9/20170915090102846.pdf</a></div>

期数

统计系独立讲座

主讲人: Min Tang
主讲人简介:

CEO and Founder, STATBEYOND CONSULTING LLC 

Adjunct Professor, University of California, Irvine
主持人: Wei Zhong
简介:
独立讲座
时间: 2017-09-29(Friday)16:40-18:00
地点: N303, Econ Building
期数: 统计系独立讲座
主办单位: SOE&WISE
承办单位: 统计系
类型: 独立讲座